TCU is still in the picture of the college football playoffs

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Disclaimer: This article is written for the express purpose of helping my father, whose worldview is so obscured by his SEC bias that he can’t see his hand waving inches from his face. I am writing this as a service to him and others like him who, like liberated cult members, need to be brainwashed in order to reintegrate into civilized society.

Rest in peace, horned frogs. You are in the playoffs. Don’t waste your time worrying so long after this is posted that the playoff committee will announce their top 4.

There is no case for Alabama. No amount of bias in Alabama will be enough to justify TCU being eliminated from the college football playoffs. And if I’m wrong, I guess you can blame me for getting your hopes up.

Georgia and Michigan would always be there regardless of the results of their conference championship games. Losing USC pretty much put them out. The committee voted Ohio State No. 5 ranked last week, so they’re the ones replacing them. With neither Ohio State nor Alabama playing this weekend, the order they find themselves in is set in stone.

Alabama’s only hope was two teams eliminated from the top 4. Since USC is one and has already determined Georgia and Michigan are lockdowns, only TCU remains. Since Alabama had two losses and TCU was previously undefeated, they should have lost by such a humiliating margin as to take the chance that a loss is worse than Alabama’s two. That didn’t happen. They didn’t lose the Big 12 championship game by 50, but by an overtime field goal.

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Here are some of the arguments I’ve heard as to why Alabama should make it and why they shouldn’t be taken seriously.

“But Alabama lost two games last play.” And TCU lost a game last play. Not to mention it was in overtime. That loss also went to a top-10 Kansas State team that may be ranked higher than Alabama’s two losses when the final rankings are released.

Also, TCU has defeated Kansas State earlier in the season. That means they’ve beaten every team they’ve played against, which Alabama can’t say. It’s quite bizarre that the order in which the games took place matters so much. If USC had won the PAC-12 championship game, they would have been 1-1 with Utah, but there would have been no question that they were in. TCU may have turned out to be at a slight disadvantage by failing to salvage their one win for the conference championship game. The committee has said they value conference championships, and if that’s true, then they should also look into making it to a conference championship game, which again Alabama didn’t do.

“TCU is playing a pillow fight conference.” That conference also has Alabama’s best win, which was of 1 in Texas. It’s worth noting that this is a common opponent and the TCU beat the Longhorns on the same field by 7 points.

The only concern I have about the committee doing the right thing and keeping TCU in the playoffs is the “eye test,” code for “I can’t justify this decision, but I’m making it anyway.” Even then, it would itself certainly not put the committee in the unenviable position of having to explain to Rece Davis during the selection show that Alabama is above TCU.

“I understand why some fans might be upset, Rece. I realize Alabama has more losses and their best win was 1 point over a team TCU who were beaten by 7 and they didn’t make it to their conference championship game but the eye test clearly showed…”

It doesn’t happen. I suspect TCU will fall to 4th place, but they will play in the national semifinals. Don’t waste time worrying about TCU or making arguments for Alabama.